Respuesta :
Answer:
73.30% probability that the sampling error made in estimating the mean amount of coffee for all 8-ounce jars by the mean of a random sample of 100 jars will be at most 0.02 ounce
Step-by-step explanation:
To solve this question, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.
Normal probability distribution
Problems of normally distributed samples are solved using the z-score formula.
In a set with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the zscore of a measure X is given by:
[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]
The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem estabilishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]s = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex].
For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.
In this problem, we have that:
[tex]\mu = 8.2, \sigma = 0.18, n = 100, s = \frac{0.18}{\sqrt{100}} = 0.018[/tex]
What is the probability that the sampling error made in estimating the mean amount of coffee for all 8-ounce jars by the mean of a random sample of 100 jars will be at most 0.02 ounce?
This is the pvalue of Z when X = 8.2 + 0.02 = 8.22 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 8.2 - 0.02 = 8.18. So
X = 8.22
[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]
By the Central Limit Theorem
[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}[/tex]
[tex]Z = \frac{8.22 - 8.2}{0.018}[/tex]
[tex]Z = 1.11[/tex]
[tex]Z = 1.11[/tex] has a pvalue of 0.8665
X = 8.18
[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}[/tex]
[tex]Z = \frac{8.18 - 8.2}{0.018}[/tex]
[tex]Z = -1.11[/tex]
[tex]Z = -1.11[/tex] has a pvalue of 0.1335
0.8665 - 0.1335 = 0.7330
73.30% probability that the sampling error made in estimating the mean amount of coffee for all 8-ounce jars by the mean of a random sample of 100 jars will be at most 0.02 ounce
