Independent events are not affected by previous events, that is, the probability of a new event doesn't change from the previous event. However, disjoint sets mean they don't have any data in common, which means the intersection of such sets is impossible. In other words, the events are exclusive, if one occurs, then the other can't occur.
Having said that, we can deduct that scenario 1 represents an independent exclusive event because the occurrence of one event excludes the other. The main reason is that there's just one orange marble.